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Preview: UFC Fight Night 221 Prelims

Bautista vs. Cannetti


Bantamweights

Mario Bautista (11-2, 5-2 UFC) vs. Guido Cannetti (10-6, 4-5 UFC)

ODDS: Bautista (-1050), Cannetti (+700)

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The UFC’s bantamweight division remains an embarrassment of riches, as Bautista is yet another rising young talent that has mostly stayed under the radar. Bautista had a tough introduction to the UFC, getting thrown to the wolves on late notice against Cory Sandhagen, but he then went on to carve out a niche as an exciting fighter who tended to give up his offensive gains on defense—an issue that eventually came to a head with a 2021 knockout loss to Trevin Jones. However, Bautista retooled after a yearlong layoff, and 2022 saw him appear to be a much more complete fighter in three one-sided wins. Bautista was much more patient and mindful of his striking defense while still remaining active and productive, and he also showed an ability to quickly get to his venomous grappling game. Bautista should be able to make a run at the UFC’s rankings in short order, but for now, he gets a dangerous but winnable fight against Cannetti. Still chugging along at 43 years old, Argentina’s Cannetti has turned a spot on the first season of “The Ultimate Fighter Latin America” into nearly a decade with the promotion. Admittedly, a lot of that is likely thanks to some stretches of inactivity, but “Ninja” has proven to be an effective if flawed fighter during his trips to the Octagon. A powerful athlete, Cannetti mostly fights behind bursts of offense and can hit like a truck; his last two fights have seen him finish Kris Moutinho and Randy Costa in roughly three minutes combined. Still, that offensive firepower clearly comes at the expense of his gas tank. Before his recent success, Cannetti had a string of fights where he flagged over time, often leaving himself defensively flammable sooner rather than later. Bautista still has enough scrapper left in him that he could charge right into danger, but he should be able to outlast Cannetti without much trouble if things even get that far. It would not be a shock to see Bautista quickly get the jump on Cannetti with his wrestling and make that a non-issue. The pick is Bautista via first-round submission.



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Williams vs. Brzeski
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Bautista vs. Cannetti
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