UFC 158 ‘St. Pierre vs. Diaz’ Preview

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Lightweights

Mike Ricci (7-3, 0-1 UFC) vs. Colin Fletcher (8-2, 0-1 UFC)

The Matchup: Both Ricci and Fletcher struggled to combat takedowns and positional dominance of pressure-oriented opponents in their UFC debuts -- Ricci against Colton Smith at “The Ultimate Fighter 16” Finale and Fletcher against Norman Parke in the 155-pound final of “The Ultimate Fighter: The Smashes” at UFC on FX 6.

A natural 155-pounder, Ricci overcame a size disadvantage while competing on the reality show as a welterweight, but he mounted very little offense against the relentless Smith, as he was taken down seven times over the course of the three-round contest. The lanky Fletcher, meanwhile, did hold a striking advantage against Parke, but he, too, was grounded repeatedly in dropping a unanimous verdict.

With the UFC promising more cuts to its bloated roster, two consecutive defeats could prove to be fatal for either man’s Octagon aspirations. Ricci, in particular, has struggled lately. After beginning his career 5-0, the Tristar Gym product has gone just 2-3 since. The Canadian is a well-rounded fighter and a good athlete capable of having success in all aspects of MMA when presented with the right matchup. The southpaw Ricci has solid power in his left hand, and the elbow that knocked out Neil Magny on “The Ultimate Fighter 16” remains a highlight of that season. “The Martian” also has solid ground-and-pound and transitions well on the mat when not faced with a dominant wrestler.

Fletcher, who likes to control distance with kicks, will have a two-inch reach advantage against Ricci. Despite his length, “Freakshow” will allow opponents to get inside and land offense. The Sunderland, England, native is comfortable on the floor and owns a variety of dangerous chokes, having finished seven of his eight victories via submission.

The Pick: Ricci is a fluid athlete who should be able move in and out while landing combinations against Fletcher. A diverse striking attack that includes kicks to the legs and body will allow the Canadian to transition to takedowns, as well. Ricci wins by submission or technical knockout in round three.

Last Fights » The Prelims